de Kretser, RG 2018, 'Tailings filtration: risk reduction through understanding and designing for variability', in RJ Jewell & AB Fourie (eds), Paste 2018: Proceedings of the 21st International Seminar on Paste and Thickened Tailings, Australian Centre for Geomechanics, Perth, pp. 63-74, https://doi.org/10.36487/ACG_rep/1805_05_de_Kretser (https://papers.acg.uwa.edu.au/p/1805_05_de_Kretser/) Abstract: In the face of recent high-profile tailings dam failures there has been an increased focus on the consideration of tailings filtration and dry stacking systems as an alternative to conventional or thickened discharge-based tailings management systems. However, whilst the potential benefits of a filtered tailings system can be significant, for instance in terms of water efficiency and reduced geotechnical risk, the high capital cost of such systems means that significant process or environmental drivers must typically exist to justify the expense. Furthermore, whilst larger-scale filtered tailings installations are now being successfully operated, such as in the alumina industry, there have also been operations that encountered significant problems leading to the tailings management system constraining overall plant productivity. In view of the significant capital investment required to implement a filtered tailings management system, understanding and mitigating key factors that could lead to tailings processing bottlenecks is therefore a critical part of the technical review of any proposed filtration and dry stacking system. In particular, the ability of the system to cope with potential variation in upstream process conditions or tailings material properties, or the risks associated with unanticipated such variation need careful consideration. However, sometimes the impacts of such variation are not clear from what is often relatively limited filter design testwork conducted on a limited range of samples, or the risks are not evident without taking a broader perspective beyond the filter plant alone. This paper illustrates, with the aid of model-based filtration simulations, examples of the nature and magnitude of typical system impacts due to factors such as variability in thickener underflow solids concentration and tailings dewaterability properties (whether due to variable plant feed or unexpected process conditions). System impacts discussed are not limited to high-level performance indicators such as filter throughput and cake solids concentrations, but will also consider filter design choice, filter operability, maintenance and downstream materials handling. Strategies for mitigation of these risks are also discussed. Whilst this work focused on membrane plate filters, the principles discussed are equally relevant to fixed cavity presses (and indeed other filter designs) and can assist in the design-making process of which type of filter best meets the needs of a given application. Keywords: pressure filtration, process risk, feed solids concertation, optimisation, modelling