Seddon, KD, Pirouz, B & Javadi, S 2018, 'Stochastic modelling of beach profiles including the influence of thickener performance', in RJ Jewell & AB Fourie (eds), Paste 2018: Proceedings of the 21st International Seminar on Paste and Thickened Tailings, Australian Centre for Geomechanics, Perth, pp. 251-260, https://doi.org/10.36487/ACG_rep/1805_20_Seddon (https://papers.acg.uwa.edu.au/p/1805_20_Seddon/) Abstract: It is generally well accepted that in the design and operation of thickened tailings storages, ‘better’ thickener performance will improve the beach profile, and thereby enhance the overall performance of the stack. Conversely, if the thickener does not perform well, it is unlikely that the designed beach profile will be achieved. The aim of this paper is to demonstrate quantitatively how thickener performance can influence the achieved beach profile in a thickened tailings scheme. The two contributing factors are: (i) solids concentration (as a surrogate for actual rheology), and (ii) throughput or flow rate. There are two considerations for each influencing factor. For solids concentration, these are: (i) does the thickener achieve the design target value, and (ii) what is the variability around this value. For flow rate, these are: (i) is the plant running at, above or below the design throughput, and (ii) what is the variability around this value. This paper presents an extension of previous work by the authors on the subject of stochastic beach profile prediction. Seddon et al. (2015) showed that the statistical variability of thickener underflow (in terms of flow rate and solids concentration) could be used in an incremental deposition model to predict realistic beach profiles. Additional statistics of actual thickener performance were presented by Pirouz et al. (2017). This paper uses a previously generated profile (Seddon et al. 2015) as a starting point, and investigates the influence of: (i) increased variability in performance (resulting in greater concavity in the profile), and (ii) an overall reduction in achieved underflow solids concentration combined with an increase in throughput (together resulting in greater concavity and an overall flatter profile). Keywords: thickened tailings, beach profile, beach slope, stochastic modelling, thickeners