DOI https://doi.org/10.36487/ACG_repo/2025_89
Cite As:
Bellin, J, Raynor, M, Kettle, R & Tasoren, K 2020, 'A methodology for assessing rainfall-induced pore pressure changes in open pit slopes', in PM Dight (ed.),
Slope Stability 2020: Proceedings of the 2020 International Symposium on Slope Stability in Open Pit Mining and Civil Engineering, Australian Centre for Geomechanics, Perth, pp. 1305-1318,
https://doi.org/10.36487/ACG_repo/2025_89
Abstract:
Rainfall-induced pore pressure responses are a well-known, yet mainly poorly understood, driver for slope instability. This knowledge gap is particularly relevant at shallow depths where slopes are more sensitive to changes in pore pressures.
The goal of this paper is to increase the industry’s understanding of the controls on rainfall-driven pore pressure fluctuations through in-depth data analysis of measured pore pressure responses at an operational mine site using a suite of semi-automated tools. A methodology is presented for analysis and correlation of rainfall data with observed pore pressure response using Python. Empirical relationships are presented between extreme rainfall events and the magnitude and lag time of the resultant pore pressure response. The impact of short-term extreme events is compared with longer-term interannual variations in rainfall and measured pore pressure for the example site.
Pore pressure trends are compared with the historical failure database in an attempt to reconcile the timing of slope failures with rainfall events and observed pore pressure responses. The paper provides a valuable methodology for those seeking to incorporate extreme events and climatic variability into a risk-based slope design process. The implications of the review for groundwater management plans and rainfall trigger-action-response-plans (TARPs) are also discussed.
Keywords: vibrating wire piezometer, pore pressure, extreme rainfall, Python, data management
References:
Abrahams, G, Raynor, M & Mandisodza, K 2015, ‘Saprolite slope design at Rosebel Gold Mine’, Proceedings of the 2015 Symposium on Slope Stability in Open Pit Mining and Civil Engineering, The Southern African Institute of Mining and Metallurgy, Johannesburg, pp. 753–767.
Beale, G & Read, J 2013, Guidelines for evaluating water in pit slope stability, CSIRO Publishing, Collingwood.
Brand, EW, Premchitt, J & Phillipson, HB 1984, ‘Relationship between rainfall and landslides in Hong Kong’, Proceedings of the 4th International Symposium on Landslides, Canadian Geotechnical Society, Toronto, pp.276–284.
Cai, Z & Ofterdinger, U 2016, ‘Analysis of groundwater-level response to rainfall and estimation of annual recharge in fractured hard rock aquifers, NW Ireland’, Journal of Hydrology, vol. 535, pp. 71–84.
Crosbie, RS, Binning, P & Kalma, JD 2005, ‘A time series approach to inferring groundwater recharge using the water table fluctuation method’, Water Resources Research, vol. 41, issue 1,
Diggle, PJ 1990, Time series: a biostatistical introduction, Oxford University Press, Oxford.
Eberhardt, E, Preisig, G & Gischig, V 2016, ‘Progressive failure in deep-seated rockslides due to seasonal fluctuations in pore pressures and rock mass fatigue’, in S Aversa, L Cascini, L Picarelli & C Scavia (eds), Proceedings of the 12th International Symposium on Landslides, Associazione Geotecnica Italiana, Rome.
Fourie, AB 1996, ‘Predicting rainfall-induced slope instability’, Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers, Geotechnical Engineering, vol. 119, pp. 211–218.
Fourie, AB, Suradi, M, Beckett, C & Buzzi, O 2014, ‘Rainfall-induced landslides: development of a simple screening tool based on rainfall data and unsaturated soil mechanics principles’, in N Khalili, AR Russell & A Khoshghalb (eds), Proceedings of the Sixth International Conference on Unsaturated Soils, CRC Press, Sydney, pp. 1459–1465.
Hencher, SR & Lee, SG 2010, ‘Landslide mechanisms in Hong Kong’, Geological Society Engineering Geology Special Publications, Geological Society, London, vol. 23, pp.77–103.
Lee, LJE, Lawrence, DSL & Price, M 2006, ‘Analysis of water-level response to rainfall and implications for recharge pathways in the Chalk aquifer, SE England’, Journal of Hydrology, vol. 330, pp. 604–620.
Lorig, L 2015, ‘Designing for extreme events in open pit slope stability’, Proceedings of the 2015 International Symposium on Slope Stability in Open Pit Mining and Civil Engineering, The Southern African Institute of Mining and Metallurgy, Johannesburg.
McCoy, KJ & Blanchard, PJ 2008, ‘Precipitation, groundwater hydrology, and recharge along the eastern slopes of the Sandia Mountains, Bernalillo County, New Mexico’, USGS Scientific Investigations Report 2008-5179,
McKenna, GT 1995, ‘Grouted-in installation of piezometers in boreholes’, Canadian Geotechnical Journal, vol. 32, pp. 355–363.
McKinney, W 2010, ‘Data Structures for Statistical Computing in Python’, in S van der Walt & H Millman (eds), Proceedings of the 9th Python in Science Conference, pp.51–56.
O’Neill, S 2018, ‘Water triggered, upper to mid-slope, multilevel slope failures in large open pits’, Proceedings of the International Symposium on Slope Stability in Open Pit Mining and Civil Engineering, Asociacion Nacional de Ingenieros de Minas, Seville.
Sullivan, TD 2007, ‘Hydromechanical coupling and pit slope movements’, in Y Potvin (ed.), Proceedings of the 2007 International Symposium on Slope Stability in Open Pit Mining and Civil Engineering, Australian Centre for Geomechanics, Perth, pp. 3–43.
Tasoren, K & Sattan, K 2018, ‘An empirical approach to define suitable slope design parameters for saprolite and transition material’, Proceedings of the International Symposium on Slope Stability in Open Pit Mining and Civil Engineering, Asociacion Nacional de Ingenieros de Minas, Seville.