Seismic Monitoring in Zhezkazgan Mines - Case Study of a Strong Seismic Event Forecasting

doi:10.36487/ACG_repo/711_17

Authors: German, VI; Mansurov, VA; Boiko, PA

DOI https://doi.org/10.36487/ACG_repo/711_17

Cite As:
German, VI, Mansurov, VA & Boiko, PA 2007, 'Seismic Monitoring in Zhezkazgan Mines - Case Study of a Strong Seismic Event Forecasting', in Y Potvin (ed.), Deep Mining 2007: Proceedings of the Fourth International Seminar on Deep and High Stress Mining, Australian Centre for Geomechanics, Perth, pp. 243-248, https://doi.org/10.36487/ACG_repo/711_17

Download citation as: ris bibtex endnote text Zotero

Abstract:
The seismic monitoring program on Zhezkazgan mines and its features are described. Physical concepts of strong seismic event forecasting based on laboratory experiments and earthquake seismology investigations are considered. High concentration of events, seismic gaps and seismicity migration can be used as precursors of strong seismic events. A parameter, which characterises the possibility of weak events interacting and forming a strong seismic event is introduced. The case study of a strong event with radiated energy 107.11 J which was forecast in real time mode by analysing only seismic data is considered.

References:

German, V.I. and Mansurov, V.A. (2002) Induced seismicity monitoring and procedure of rock-burst focus localization.

Journal of Mining Science, Vol. 38 (4), pp. 336–343.

Kuksenko, V.S., Tomilin, N.G., Damaskinskaya, E. and Lockner, D.A. (1996) A two-stage model of fracture of rocks.

Pure and Applied Geophysics, Vol. 146 (2), pp. 253–263.

Lockner, D.A., Byerlee, J.D., Kuksenko, V., Ponomarev, A. and Sidorin, A. (1992) Observations of quasistatic fault

growth from acoustic emissions. In Fault Mechanics and Transport Properties of Rock. B. Evans and T.F. Wong

(eds), Academic Press, London, pp. 3–31.

Mansurov, V.A. (1993) Laboratory Experiments: Their role in the Problem of Rock Burst Prediction. Comprehensive

Rock Engineering, Vol. 3, London, Pergamon Press.

Mogi, K. (1985) Earthquake prediction. Academic Press, Tokyo.

Ponomarev, A.V., Zavyalov, A.D., Smirnov, V.B., Lockner, D.A. (1997) Physical modeling of the formation and

evolution of seismically active fault zones. Tectonophysics, Vol. 277, pp. 57–81.

Zhurkov, S.N. (1965) Kinetic concept of the strength of solids. International Journal of Fracture Mechanics, Vol. 1,

pp. 311–323.

Seismic Monitoring in Zhezkazgan Mines — Case Study of a Strong Seismic Event Forecasting V.I. German, et al.

248 Deep Mining 07, Perth, Australia

© Copyright 2024, Australian Centre for Geomechanics (ACG), The University of Western Australia. All rights reserved.
View copyright/legal information
Please direct any queries or error reports to repository-acg@uwa.edu.au