Authors: German, VI; Mansurov, VA; Boiko, PA


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German, VI, Mansurov, VA & Boiko, PA 2007, 'Seismic Monitoring in Zhezkazgan Mines - Case Study of a Strong Seismic Event Forecasting', in Y Potvin (ed.), Deep Mining 2007: Proceedings of the Fourth International Seminar on Deep and High Stress Mining, Australian Centre for Geomechanics, Perth, pp. 243-248,

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The seismic monitoring program on Zhezkazgan mines and its features are described. Physical concepts of strong seismic event forecasting based on laboratory experiments and earthquake seismology investigations are considered. High concentration of events, seismic gaps and seismicity migration can be used as precursors of strong seismic events. A parameter, which characterises the possibility of weak events interacting and forming a strong seismic event is introduced. The case study of a strong event with radiated energy 107.11 J which was forecast in real time mode by analysing only seismic data is considered.

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Seismic Monitoring in Zhezkazgan Mines — Case Study of a Strong Seismic Event Forecasting V.I. German, et al.
248 Deep Mining 07, Perth, Australia

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